![]() ![]() Democrats likely would have gotten more votes had they run a candidate in Utah instead of endorsing independent Evan McMullin. Republican candidates for Senate won more votes than Democratic candidates – by 0.1 points. ![]() The margin in Senate races was still tighter. The most shocking Senate result: Every incumbent won That margin was the closest in midterm- or presidential-year gubernatorial races since at least 1990. ![]() There were 36 gubernatorial races in 2022, with Democrats winning more votes cast for governor in total than Republicans – by less than 0.3 points. The popular vote margins in governor’s and Senate races this year were even closer. That would have been the second-closest midterm margin in the House popular vote in the last 70 years. Republicans won the House popular vote by less than 3 points and would likely have won by about 2 points had both parties run candidates in every district. When you examine the vote counts from the 2022 election, the closeness becomes even more apparent. By my count, this is apparently the first time since the popular election of senators (1914) when neither party will hold more than 52% of governorships, House seats or Senate seats. What is unusual is to have all three be so closely divided. After all, we’ve just had two years in which each party has held 50 Senate seats. It’s not unusual for any one of these (governorships, House seats or Senate seats) to be narrowly split. Democrats will control the Senate with a bare majority (51% of the seats). Republicans have maintained the thinnest majority of governorships (52%) and House seats (51%). Let’s start with seat counts in governorships and in the House and Senate. How the midterms changed the 2024 primaries for Biden and Trump President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump ![]()
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